Braun and Beckwith have a baked-in advantage of running as Republicans in a red state where many people vote straight party. On top of that, Donald Trump will be on the ballot again. Trump has turned ...

The election is almost over and we ... Absolutely everything has to go right for Democrats. At-risk Democratic incumbents need to fend off their challenges, and the party has little to no margin ...

Some prediction markets remained inconsistent right up until election day, with PredictIt and Polymarket still showing conflicting probabilities just days before voters went to the polls.

With the election ... risk system that incentivizes people to choose who they believe will win rather than who they want to win, offering a more accurate view of the election, Miller said ...

An embarrassed Lichtman pulled his prediction model around 10:30 p.m. on Election Night last Tuesday ... “vast disinformation” on a variety of issues, including jobs, immigration, unemployment ...

This explosion in legal betting comes after a federal appeals court earlier this month allowed KalshiEX LLC, an online-betting company, to open an election prediction market. Sponsor Message The ...

US election, “the outcome remains a key risk on the performance of the rand. ” US opinion polls in the election campaign's ...

Young Taurus natives should be careful about the company they keep. Unnecessary friendships may lead to conflicts. To stay ...

Prediction markets passed a closely watched test by correctly forecasting that Donald Trump would win the election. Their future is more difficult to predict. History shows that prediction markets ...

was correct in his 2021 prediction that not getting 'Bidenflation' under control would bring back Donald Trump. In a talk at ...

While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris ... strategic adviser for ...