I have yet to find a pollster with an Election Day model that showed these improbable movements: Democrats turning out 6 ...

An oracle erred badly. The most impressive results were turned in by a little-known company in Brazil. A nagging problem ...

538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last ...

The success of Polymarket and other betting platforms in calling the election will bring an end to the era of political ...

Following Donald Trump's surprising victory over Kamala Harris, U.S. pollsters are analyzing why their predictions underestimated his support for a third time. Polls showed Trump trailing, but final ...